I HATE TO BRING THIS UP, BUT...
From the National Hurricane Center's Tropical Weather Outlook as of 5:30AM:
A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT VERY CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...THEY COULD BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE WAVE MOVES INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
U P D A T E (12:27PM): Here is the update from 11:30 PM ET:
A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF JAMAICA IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE ALSO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
This is something we'll have to keep an eye on, as the Caribbean is traditionally a hotbed for tropical storm/hurricane development during this part of the season.
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